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The Nasdaq fell about 5% in October, and four AI-linked names report Nov. 2-3. Here is what an "implied move" measures, why sites quote different numbers for the same stock, and why "IV crush" matters.
Thursday brings advance Q3 GDP and September PCE inflation at 8:30 a.m. ET, then Amazon and Intel after the close. Here is what each number means and how event risk gets priced into options.
The Fed announces Wednesday, Oct. 28, and markets currently price a hold as the likelier outcome. Options traders are still watching implied volatility, event risk and the "IV crush."
Western Alliance, Zions and Fifth Third entered earnings week with options priced for moves well above their long-run averages. Here's how to read an implied move, and why it isn't a forecast.
Cloudflare's stock jumped well past what pre-earnings options pricing had signaled. Rather than proof that the market got it wrong, it's a clean, real example of what an "implied move" actually is — and isn't.
Texas Instruments beat on revenue, EPS, and guidance on July 22 — then the stock fell about 5%. Options had priced in a 9-12% move either way. Here's the IV crush lesson in a genuine beat-and-raise quarter that still went down.
Taiwan Semiconductor reports Thursday, right in the middle of a rough week for chip stocks. Before you look at the headline number options traders are pricing in, here's what "implied move" actually means — and why it isn't a prediction.