Insights
Tax tips, options trading ideas, and market takes — updated regularly.
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Midterms arrive Nov. 3 with the VIX near 18.6. See how a known event date shows up in option prices, why implied volatility often fades once the result is in, and what the historical data does and doesn't say.
The Fed announces Wednesday, Oct. 28, and markets currently price a hold as the likelier outcome. Options traders are still watching implied volatility, event risk and the "IV crush."
Apple reports its last earnings under CEO Tim Cook on July 30. Options pricing points to a 3.5% move — but Apple has blown past its implied move in five of its last eight reports. Here's how that number gets built, and where it breaks.
Boeing's options market is pricing about a 5% swing around Tuesday's earnings — but the stock has actually delivered a bigger move than that in only one of its last eight reports. Here's what that gap says about pricing uncertainty into a turnaround story.
Same earnings week, wildly different options behavior. J&J's implied move sits near 4% while IBM cratered over 20%. Here's why that gap matters for income-focused options trades.