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Market Commentary
How Options Price an Election: What the VIX and "IV Crush" Reveal Before Nov. 3
Midterms arrive Nov. 3 with the VIX near 18.6. See how a known event date shows up in option prices, why implied volatility often fades once the result is in, and what the historical data does and doesn't say.
Options Trading
Eli Lilly's Earnings Beat Was Big. What Options Traders Had Priced In Tells the Real Story
Eli Lilly's Q2 beat sent shares higher on August 5, but options markets had already priced in a $65–76 billion swing beforehand. Here's how implied move is calculated, why the number shifts daily, and what IV crush means for anyone holding options into earnings.