Insights
Tax tips, options trading ideas, and market takes — updated regularly.
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Hertz, Fabrinet and HubSpot report Nov. 2-5, and one calendar site shows implied moves above their ten-year averages. Here is how to compare the two, and the caveats that keep the comparison honest.
The Nasdaq fell about 5% in October, and four AI-linked names report Nov. 2-3. Here is what an "implied move" measures, why sites quote different numbers for the same stock, and why "IV crush" matters.
Intel's last three earnings reactions were about -17%, +24% and -8%, against priced moves of roughly 9% to 12%. Intel reports Thursday, Oct. 29, after the close. Here is how to read the implied move before it does.
Robinhood reports Tuesday, Oct. 27, after the close. Here is how to read the options-implied move, what the company's monthly operating data shows, and why a stock can fall even when results beat forecasts.
Western Alliance, Zions and Fifth Third entered earnings week with options priced for moves well above their long-run averages. Here's how to read an implied move, and why it isn't a forecast.
Cloudflare's stock jumped well past what pre-earnings options pricing had signaled. Rather than proof that the market got it wrong, it's a clean, real example of what an "implied move" actually is — and isn't.
Apple reports its last earnings under CEO Tim Cook on July 30. Options pricing points to a 3.5% move — but Apple has blown past its implied move in five of its last eight reports. Here's how that number gets built, and where it breaks.
Taiwan Semiconductor reports Thursday, right in the middle of a rough week for chip stocks. Before you look at the headline number options traders are pricing in, here's what "implied move" actually means — and why it isn't a prediction.
Delta Air Lines reports Friday morning, and options traders have already placed their bet — not on whether the quarter is good, but on how far the stock will swing either way. Here's how that "implied move" gets priced, and why it can trip up traders who get the direction right.